ELECTION PLANNING

 

The 2022 New York State gubernatorial campaign is beginning

The next New York State gubernatorial election is coming up on Tuesday, November 8, 2022; just over a year from now. When we first wrote this, Cuomo had not yet resigned and he was still the frontrunner, scandals and all. Now, the Democrat candidate could be some last minute surprise. Kathy Hochul is not guaranteed to be the nominee. Bill de Blasio may even run. The nominee will not have the full weight of the party machinery behind him. He will not have the “alliances” that come from having an insider’s inventory of the skeletons in the closet of Albany. This extraordinary situation presents us with a rare opportunity to change the political landscape of New York State, possibly for the long term.

No matter how it turns out, it will not be the only factor in the election. The shrill stridency of the far left will be on the ballot. A large and growing segment of the electorate is tiring of their antics. There is also the tendency of the opposition party to gain ground in the midterm elections after a change in control of the White House. A more centrist insurgent candidate, possibly a more libertarian one, at that, will stand a good chance, since libertarianism is the antithesis of what the far left is pushing.

In recent elections, the margin of victory has been very thin. A political demographic that can move the election a percentage point or two currently has more influence than ever before. An endorsement from a club like ours will carry weight that is out of proportion to the club’s size.

We should start thinking about what we would like to see in a candidate that seeks our endorsement. We might even want to post a “wish list” for potential endorsees. If you have some thoughts on that, please send them to us.

In the interim, we should try to bulk up. Please get your friends, neighbors and relatives to join the LCNY. While we do not have to disclose the size of our membership, we must file financial disclosure statements with the Board of Elections. Those reports are publicly available, so the political classes know what we have.

 


 

 

 

“In recent elections, the margin of victory has been very thin. A political demographic that can move the election a percentage point or two currently has more influence than ever before.”

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