The 2022 New York State gubernatorial campaign

 

POLL RESULTS

 

 

The poll results are in and we have a tie. Lee Zeldin and Rob Astorino have tied. We will wait until one or the other wins the primary and then we will endorse him in time for the general election.

We wish to thank the members of the Libertarian Club of New York for their support, their continued involvement and their timely responses to this important poll. Once the results from the primary are in, we will send out a press release to New York area media announcing the Club’s endorsement.

 

OUR ASSESSMENT OF THE SITUATION

The next New York State gubernatorial election is coming up on Tuesday, November 8, 2022. When we first wrote this, Cuomo had not yet resigned and he was still the frontrunner, scandals and all. Kathy Hochul does not have the political weight that is based upon the “alliances” that come from having an insider’s inventory of the skeletons in the closet of Albany. Kathy Hochul is no Cuomo. This extraordinary situation presents us with a rare opportunity to change the political landscape of New York State, possibly for the long term.

No matter how it turns out, it will not be the only factor in the election. The shrill stridency of the far left will be on the ballot. A large and growing segment of the electorate is tiring of their antics. There is also the tendency of the opposition party to gain ground in the midterm elections after a change in control of the White House. A more centrist insurgent candidate, possibly a more libertarian one, at that, will stand a good chance, since libertarianism is the antithesis of what the far left is pushing.

The left’s overreaction to the coronavirus will be on the ballot. A dissatisfaction with the incumbent government’s ability to increase its own power by declaring an emergency will push the electorate in a more libertarian direction.

In recent elections, the margin of victory has been very thin. A political demographic that can move the election a percentage point or two currently has more influence than ever before. An endorsement from a club like ours will carry weight that is out of proportion to the club’s size.

In the interim, we should try to bulk up. Please get your friends, neighbors and relatives to join the LCNY. While we do not have to disclose the size of our membership, we must file financial disclosure statements with the Board of Elections. Those reports are publicly available, so the political classes know what we have.

 

 

 

 

 

“We have a tie.”

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

“In recent elections, the margin of victory has been very thin. A political demographic that can move the election a percentage point or two currently has more influence than ever before.”

 

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